[Jul 18, 2024 10:47 AM] As the odds for Joe Biden pulling out of the presidential race soared over the past day, the chances of a victory for the now crypto-friendly Donald Trump slumped.
[Jul 17, 2024 12:13 PM] In this week's issue of CoinDesk's blockchain tech newsletter, we look at the "alternative news source" that Polymarket's prediction-betting site has become.
[Jul 17, 2024 9:49 AM] As the U.S. presidential election enters its final stretch, crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket is striking while the iron is hot by hiring popular statistician and writer Nate Silver as an adviser.
[Jul 15, 2024 11:10 AM] Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the…
[Jul 15, 2024 7:25 AM] Plus: Another all-time high for Trump's odds of victory; bettors think bitcoin will continue its green streak until the end of week.
[Jul 13, 2024 7:05 PM] The former president, who was injured at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday, now has a 69% chance of retaking the White House, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market. Trump-themed Polifi tokens and crypto broadly also rose.
[Jul 13, 2024 6:13 PM] Former U.S. President and current presidential candidate Donald Trump was shot at a rally in Pennsylvania. Gunfire erupted while he was speaking, prompting Secret Service agents to rush him off the stage. Trump was seen with blood on the side of…
[Jul 10, 2024 11:32 AM] On Wednesday, former U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi urged President Joe Biden to decide soon on whether to run, stating that “time is running short.” Following this, Polymarket bets surged to 61% in the afternoon, reflecting the odds…
[Jul 8, 2024 2:49 PM] Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 29% chance that the Ohio Republican will be former President Trump’s running mate, up from 14% a week ago.
[Jul 8, 2024 8:03 AM] Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
[Jul 6, 2024 6:22 AM] According to metrics, the prediction market Polymarket has experienced notable volume over the past few weeks, with the firm reporting it accrued over $100 million in June and $8.2 million on the day the 2024 presidential candidates Donald Trump…
[Jul 5, 2024 7:26 PM] The president's chances of reelection remain 12% and his probability of dropping out stayed at 63%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform.
[Jul 4, 2024 10:50 PM] Former U.S. President Donald Trump is still in the lead at odds at 61%, while U.S. Vice President and Democrat Kamala Harris is second with 19% odds.
[Jul 2, 2024 11:37 PM] Traders are now giving a 55% chance President Biden abandons his campaign and a 42% chance he does it before the Democratic convention
[Jul 2, 2024 4:30 PM] Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand…
[Jul 1, 2024 8:11 AM] Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market.
[Jun 30, 2024 7:15 PM] There are now over $200 million worth of bets on who will win the United States presidential election — now just four months out.
[Jun 30, 2024 7:45 AM] This weekend, following the first presidential debate of 2024, the prediction market Polymarket, powered by Polygon, saw a shift in the wager regarding whether incumbent President Joe Biden will withdraw from the race. Just two days prior, the odds…
[Jun 28, 2024 5:39 AM] Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably…
[Jun 26, 2024 10:15 AM] Following speculation that former President Donald Trump might select Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as his vice presidential candidate, Ramaswamy’s chances have significantly increased on prediction platforms like Polymarket. Over the last three…
[Jun 24, 2024 10:22 AM] Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement.
[Jun 23, 2024 9:05 AM] With the 2024 election set for November, there’s growing curiosity about whom former President Donald Trump will select as his vice-presidential candidate. Currently, the decentralized prediction market Polymarket is featuring bets on a wide…
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