Biden Overtakes VP Harris as Likeliest Dem Nominee on Polymarket During President's Press Conference (Update)
[Jul 11 4:47 PM] The president said he plans to stay in the race but "it's important that I allay fears."
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Polymarket Odds of Biden Dropping Out Spike to 61% After Pelosi Urges 2024 Decision
Crypto-Friendly Sen. JD Vance's Odds as Trump VP Pick Double on Polymarket
[Jul 8 2:49 PM] Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 29% chance that the Ohio Republican will be former President Trump’s running mate, up from 14% a week ago.
Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong
[Jul 8 8:03 AM] Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
2024 Election Bets Propel Polymarket to $111 Million in June Volume
[Jul 6 6:22 AM] According to metrics, the prediction market Polymarket has experienced notable volume over the past few weeks, with the firm reporting it accrued over $100 million in June and $8.2 million on the day the 2024 presidential candidates Donald Trump…
Biden's Odds on Polymarket Little Changed After ABC TV Interview
[Jul 5 7:26 PM] The president's chances of reelection remain 12% and his probability of dropping out stayed at 63%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform.
Biden’s reelection odds brush single digits on Polymarket
[Jul 4 10:50 PM] Former U.S. President Donald Trump is still in the lead at odds at 61%, while U.S. Vice President and Democrat Kamala Harris is second with 19% odds.
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surge to Almost 80% on Polymarket After New York Times Report
[Jul 3 9:21 AM]
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surges to 55% on PolyMarket as Obama Raises 'Concerns' About Presidential Campaign
[Jul 2 11:37 PM] Traders are now giving a 55% chance President Biden abandons his campaign and a 42% chance he does it before the Democratic convention
Kamala Harris' Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket
[Jul 2 4:35 PM] The vice president
Trump’s 2024 Election Odds Jump to 66% on Polymarket; GOP Expected to Control Congress
[Jul 2 4:30 PM] Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand…
Biden's Blunder Ignites Trading Frenzy on Polymarket
[Jul 1 8:11 AM] Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market.
Polymarket monthly volume hits $100M as presidential race heats up
[Jun 30 7:15 PM] There are now over $200 million worth of bets on who will win the United States presidential election — now just four months out.
Polymarket Bet on Biden Dropping Out Rises to 50% as Camp David Retreat Fuels Speculation
[Jun 30 7:45 AM] This weekend, following the first presidential debate of 2024, the prediction market Polymarket, powered by Polygon, saw a shift in the wager regarding whether incumbent President Joe Biden will withdraw from the race. Just two days prior, the odds…
39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting
[Jun 28 5:39 AM] Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably…
Trump Surges to 67% in Polymarket Odds Post Presidential Debate
[Jun 27 10:06 PM] Biden's chances at becoming the Democratic nominee also slid to 70%, while Gavin Newsom's odds jumped to 15%.
Polymarket Contradicts Its Oracle Service in Rarity for Prediction Market
[Jun 26 8:21 PM] Nearly all UMA voters said that the son of Donald Trump was not involved in the creation of the DJT token
Vivek Ramaswamy’s VP Prospects Spike 1,100% on Prediction Market Polymarket
[Jun 26 10:15 AM] Following speculation that former President Donald Trump might select Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as his vice presidential candidate, Ramaswamy’s chances have significantly increased on prediction platforms like Polymarket. Over the last three…
Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Not Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
[Jun 24 10:22 AM] Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement.
Donald Trump’s VP Contenders: A Look at Polymarket Odds and Favorites
[Jun 23 9:05 AM] With the 2024 election set for November, there’s growing curiosity about whom former President Donald Trump will select as his vice-presidential candidate. Currently, the decentralized prediction market Polymarket is featuring bets on a wide…
Polymarket gambler face charges after Taiwan election bet
[Jun 18 6:35 AM] A man in Taiwan faces charges for using the crypto betting platform Polymarket to wager on the 2024 elections.
Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says
[Jun 17 4:07 PM] Meanwhile, there's a prediction market on whether the U.K. newspaper The Guardian will correct an article about prediction markets.
Will Trump Trounce Biden? Polymarket Traders Are Betting on It.
[Jun 11 10:49 AM] With a 56% chance of winning, according to the prediction market's traders, the former president has a 22-point lead over the incumbent, far bigger than what the polls indicate.
Betting Odds Odds Suggest 24% Chance Joe Biden Will Exit 2024 Election Race
[Jun 11 6:24 AM] According to a bet on Polymarket, a decentralized predictions platform powered by Polygon, there’s a wager on whether current U.S. President Joe Biden will exit the 2024 election race. Currently, the likelihood of Biden stepping down has grown over…
Polymarket Bets Show Growing Confidence in Trump’s Election Victory Over Biden
[Jun 9 8:15 AM] Ten days ago, after former President Donald Trump was convicted on 34 counts connected to a hush-money scheme, Polymarket bets indicated his chances of winning the 2024 election still stood at 54%, compared to incumbent President Joe Biden’s 40%…
Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
[Jun 3 5:29 PM] Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts.
Conviction Fails to Deter Donald Trump’s 2024 Election Odds, According to Polymarket Bets
[May 31 11:50 AM] Following the landmark news of former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts related to a hush-money scheme allegedly influencing the 2016 election, data from the Polygon-powered prediction market Polymarket shows Trump still…
TRUMP token recovers from nasty dip after Donald Trump guilty verdict
[May 30 5:04 PM] Meanwhile, the Jeo Boden (BODEN) meme coin linked to Trump’s arch-rival, Joe Biden, rallied 6.4% in the first 15 minutes before dumping again.
TRUMP Token Sinks After Former U.S. President Is Found Guilty in New York
[May 30 3:27 PM]
Polymarket gets backlash over ‘approved’ outcome on $13M Ethereum ETF bet
[May 23 9:21 PM] A multi-million bet on “Ethereum ETF approved by May 31” resolved to a “Yes” on Polymarket as news from the SEC broke, but the losing side argues it's not over yet.