Biden Dropout Chances Rise to 68% After Covid Diagnosis
[Jul 18, 2024 2:25 AM] President Joe Biden said during an interview that if a medical condition emerged, he'd consider dropping out of the race.
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The Protocol: Polymarket Feeds Political Junkies, With Nate Silver
[Jul 17, 2024 12:13 PM] In this week's issue of CoinDesk's blockchain tech newsletter, we look at the "alternative news source" that Polymarket's prediction-betting site has become.
Polymarket Hires Nate Silver After Taking in $265M of Bets on U.S. Election: Report
[Jul 17, 2024 9:49 AM] As the U.S. presidential election enters its final stretch, crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket is striking while the iron is hot by hiring popular statistician and writer Nate Silver as an adviser.
Trump Odds on Polymarket Hit Another All-Time High After Vance VP Pick
[Jul 16, 2024 9:32 AM] Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 72% chance the former president will retake the White House.
Trump’s Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71%
[Jul 15, 2024 11:10 AM] Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the…
U.S. Secret Service Chief Probably Won't Be Fired, Polymarket Bets Signal
[Jul 15, 2024 7:25 AM] Plus: Another all-time high for Trump's odds of victory; bettors think bitcoin will continue its green streak until the end of week.
Trump's Odds of Victory Hit All-Time High on Polymarket After Shooting
[Jul 13, 2024 7:05 PM] The former president, who was injured at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday, now has a 69% chance of retaking the White House, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market. Trump-themed Polifi tokens and crypto broadly also rose.
Trump’s Odds of Winning Presidential Election Soar in Prediction Markets After Assassination Attempt
[Jul 13, 2024 6:13 PM] Former U.S. President and current presidential candidate Donald Trump was shot at a rally in Pennsylvania. Gunfire erupted while he was speaking, prompting Secret Service agents to rush him off the stage. Trump was seen with blood on the side of…
Biden Overtakes VP Harris as Likeliest Dem Nominee on Polymarket During President's Press Conference (Update)
[Jul 11, 2024 4:47 PM] The president said he plans to stay in the race but "it's important that I allay fears."
Polymarket Odds of Biden Dropping Out Spike to 61% After Pelosi Urges 2024 Decision
Crypto-Friendly Sen. JD Vance's Odds as Trump VP Pick Double on Polymarket
[Jul 8, 2024 2:49 PM] Traders on the crypto-based prediction market now see a 29% chance that the Ohio Republican will be former President Trump’s running mate, up from 14% a week ago.
Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong
[Jul 8, 2024 8:03 AM] Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
2024 Election Bets Propel Polymarket to $111 Million in June Volume
[Jul 6, 2024 6:22 AM] According to metrics, the prediction market Polymarket has experienced notable volume over the past few weeks, with the firm reporting it accrued over $100 million in June and $8.2 million on the day the 2024 presidential candidates Donald Trump…
Biden's Odds on Polymarket Little Changed After ABC TV Interview
[Jul 5, 2024 7:26 PM] The president's chances of reelection remain 12% and his probability of dropping out stayed at 63%, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market platform.
Biden’s reelection odds brush single digits on Polymarket
[Jul 4, 2024 10:50 PM] Former U.S. President Donald Trump is still in the lead at odds at 61%, while U.S. Vice President and Democrat Kamala Harris is second with 19% odds.
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surge to Almost 80% on Polymarket After New York Times Report
[Jul 3, 2024 9:21 AM]
Biden's Odds of Dropping Out Surges to 55% on PolyMarket as Obama Raises 'Concerns' About Presidential Campaign
[Jul 2, 2024 11:37 PM] Traders are now giving a 55% chance President Biden abandons his campaign and a 42% chance he does it before the Democratic convention
Kamala Harris' Odds of Winning Democratic Nomination Surge on Polymarket
[Jul 2, 2024 4:35 PM] The vice president
Trump’s 2024 Election Odds Jump to 66% on Polymarket; GOP Expected to Control Congress
[Jul 2, 2024 4:30 PM] Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand…
Biden's Blunder Ignites Trading Frenzy on Polymarket
[Jul 1, 2024 8:11 AM] Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market.
Polymarket monthly volume hits $100M as presidential race heats up
[Jun 30, 2024 7:15 PM] There are now over $200 million worth of bets on who will win the United States presidential election — now just four months out.
Polymarket Bet on Biden Dropping Out Rises to 50% as Camp David Retreat Fuels Speculation
[Jun 30, 2024 7:45 AM] This weekend, following the first presidential debate of 2024, the prediction market Polymarket, powered by Polygon, saw a shift in the wager regarding whether incumbent President Joe Biden will withdraw from the race. Just two days prior, the odds…
39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting
[Jun 28, 2024 5:39 AM] Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably…
Trump Surges to 67% in Polymarket Odds Post Presidential Debate
[Jun 27, 2024 10:06 PM] Biden's chances at becoming the Democratic nominee also slid to 70%, while Gavin Newsom's odds jumped to 15%.
Polymarket Contradicts Its Oracle Service in Rarity for Prediction Market
[Jun 26, 2024 8:21 PM] Nearly all UMA voters said that the son of Donald Trump was not involved in the creation of the DJT token
Vivek Ramaswamy’s VP Prospects Spike 1,100% on Prediction Market Polymarket
[Jun 26, 2024 10:15 AM] Following speculation that former President Donald Trump might select Republican Vivek Ramaswamy as his vice presidential candidate, Ramaswamy’s chances have significantly increased on prediction platforms like Polymarket. Over the last three…
Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Not Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
[Jun 24, 2024 10:22 AM] Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement.
Donald Trump’s VP Contenders: A Look at Polymarket Odds and Favorites
[Jun 23, 2024 9:05 AM] With the 2024 election set for November, there’s growing curiosity about whom former President Donald Trump will select as his vice-presidential candidate. Currently, the decentralized prediction market Polymarket is featuring bets on a wide…
Polymarket gambler face charges after Taiwan election bet
[Jun 18, 2024 6:35 AM] A man in Taiwan faces charges for using the crypto betting platform Polymarket to wager on the 2024 elections.
Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says
[Jun 17, 2024 4:07 PM] Meanwhile, there's a prediction market on whether the U.K. newspaper The Guardian will correct an article about prediction markets.