[Aug 5 2:01 PM] Also: the Democrat gains on Trump but hasn't closed the gap, unlike in polls; Polymarket punters trade on Olympic women's boxing controversy; Fed will cut rates fast and hard in September, say bettors.
[Aug 4 9:05 PM] Welcome to Latam Insights, a compendium of Latin America’s most relevant crypto and economic news during the last week. In this issue: El Salvador proposes using crypto as a tool to complete international settlements with Russia, Argentina…
[Aug 3 12:37 PM] Based on Polymarket predictions, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro is currently favored to be Kamala Harris’s Vice Presidential pick for her 2024 U.S. presidential campaign. Polymarket participants currently give Shapiro a 72% likelihood of being…
[Aug 2 9:30 AM] Polymarket, the cryptocurrency-based prediction markets platform, has not been able to resolve the bet on the outcome of the Venezuelan presidential election. While the country’s electoral authority, the Electoral National Council (CNE)…
[Aug 1 10:38 AM] Polymarket might add fees to its platform in the future, but it is currently focused on growing the marketplace, according to the CEO.
[Jul 30 10:30 AM] Polymarket, the cryptocurrency-based prediction markets platform, explained its position regarding the bet on the Venezuelan presidential election. While opposition forces alleged that voting fraud had been committed, President Nicolas Maduro, who…
[Jul 26 3:26 PM] According to the blockchain-based prediction market Polymarket, there is an 84% likelihood that former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris will debate before the election. Trump has shown hesitation to debate Harris…
[Jul 24 11:19 AM] After Kamala Harris announced her candidacy for the U.S. presidency in the 2024 election, recent polls show she is performing competitively against Donald Trump in hypothetical matchups. However, betting markets suggest Trump is favored to win…
[Jul 24 8:16 AM] Rumors about U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris possibly attending the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville have garnered substantial attention. Alongside the speculation, a Polymarket bet estimates Harris’s odds of attending at roughly 8%…
[Jul 24 6:42 AM] D8X Co-Founder Caspar Sauter explained in an interview that leverage is the missing part of the prediction markets economy, as it allows for higher market efficiency.
[Jul 23 8:05 AM] Following U.S. President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 election, many Americans are curious about his whereabouts since he has not spoken to the nation following his letter posted to X on Sunday. On Tuesday, a Polymarket bet is predicting…
[Jul 22 10:22 AM] According to the latest data from the prediction market Polymarket, the 75th Governor of North Carolina, Roy Cooper, and the 48th Governor of Pennsylvania, Josh Shapiro, are currently leading as vice presidential candidates for Kamala Harris if she…
[Jul 22 4:30 AM] Ethereum co-founder, Vitalik Buterin, has publicly praised the prediction market Polymarket for their impressive performance. He commended the platform not only for accurately predicting outcomes well in advance but also for actively contributing…
[Jul 21 9:32 PM] US President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race led to a sharp crypto dip followed by a near-immediate correction, leading to huge liquidations.
[Jul 21 6:40 PM] Memecoins linked to Joe, Jill, and Hunter Biden tanked more than 60% while a memecoin tied to US Vice President Kamala Harris rallied 133% before cooling off.
[Jul 21 1:10 PM] Following the announcement that President Joe Biden will withdraw from the 2024 election, the prediction market Polymarket now indicates an 81% probability that Vice President Kamala Harris will be the Democratic nominee at the upcoming national…
[Jul 19 4:23 AM] Bettors are placing their money on the service being fixed by the end of Friday, with a slight possibility of it happening by mid-day.
[Jul 18 10:47 AM] As the odds for Joe Biden pulling out of the presidential race soared over the past day, the chances of a victory for the now crypto-friendly Donald Trump slumped.
[Jul 17 12:13 PM] In this week's issue of CoinDesk's blockchain tech newsletter, we look at the "alternative news source" that Polymarket's prediction-betting site has become.
[Jul 17 9:49 AM] As the U.S. presidential election enters its final stretch, crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket is striking while the iron is hot by hiring popular statistician and writer Nate Silver as an adviser.
[Jul 15 11:10 AM] Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the…
[Jul 13 7:05 PM] The former president, who was injured at a rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday, now has a 69% chance of retaking the White House, according to traders on the crypto-based prediction market. Trump-themed Polifi tokens and crypto broadly also rose.
[Jul 13 6:13 PM] Former U.S. President and current presidential candidate Donald Trump was shot at a rally in Pennsylvania. Gunfire erupted while he was speaking, prompting Secret Service agents to rush him off the stage. Trump was seen with blood on the side of…
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