[yesterday 5:49 AM] If an offshore entity’s “footprint” in the US is big enough, they must register their derivative contracts or risk facing enforcement actions, says CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam.
[Sep 16 6:05 PM] As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of…
[Sep 15 2:30 PM] The market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points…
[Sep 14 3:05 PM] Two days ago, former President Donald Trump made headlines by announcing his family’s decentralized finance (defi) platform, World Liberty Financial, boldly claiming the initiative is “embracing the future with crypto.” Meanwhile, over on…
[Sep 12 4:30 PM] With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still…
[Sep 12 1:30 PM] According to Polymarket’s betting odds, there’s a 60% chance we’ll see another debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, even though no additional debates are currently scheduled beyond the one held on Sept. 10
[Sep 11 7:15 PM] Following the heated debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, Polymarket data revealed an intense tie between the two from 6 a.m. to 12 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, with each holding a 49% chance of winning. By 2:30…
[Sep 11 3:43 AM] Vice President Kamala Harris appears to have beaten former President Donald Trump in the first debate between the U.S. presidential candidates on Tuesday, based on the direction of prediction bets on Polymarket, while crypto policy went unmentioned.
[Sep 9 9:10 PM] A wager valued at $155K on the prediction platform Polymarket is betting on Vice President Kamala Harris emerging victorious in Tuesday’s debate against former President Donald Trump. According to the latest polls, Harris holds a commanding…
[Sep 9 3:32 PM] In just over a week, the blockchain-powered prediction market platform Polymarket has generated an impressive $137.3 million in trading volume, already outpacing the total volume recorded during June and all prior months this year. Last Friday…
[Sep 5 3:35 PM] According to recent Polymarket data, former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris by seven percentage points as of Sept. 5, 2024. Polymarket’s betting on six key swing states shows Trump leading in four, including Arizona…
[Sep 2 4:40 PM] On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on…
[Sep 2 8:49 AM] Harris led Trump in early August and betting odds reached 50-50 on the marketplace last month but shifted to Trump’s favor over the weekend.
[Sep 1 5:35 PM] The blockchain-powered prediction market Polymarket saw an additional $85.84 million in trading volume during August, marking a notable uptick from July. August’s volume of $472.87 million set a new high, surpassing every month since…
[Aug 30 4:10 PM] After a 40-day interview hiatus, Vice President Kamala Harris has finally given her first Q&A session since President Joe Biden announced he won’t seek re-election in 2024. According to Polymarket’s election betting odds, former…
[Aug 26 5:30 PM] According to the blockchain-powered prediction market Polymarket, bettors are giving Telegram founder Pavel Durov a 36% chance of being released this month. Durov was taken into custody by French judicial police at Le Bourget airport in France…
[Aug 25 5:30 PM] The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues…
[Aug 22 3:10 PM] On Aug. 22, 2024, Polymarket odds showed former President Donald Trump leading in the prediction market that pits him against Kamala Harris for the 2024 presidential election. As of 8:19 a.m. EDT on Thursday, Trump held a 53% chance of victory…
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