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U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction

[Oct 21, 2024 5:01 PM] In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails Polymarket's $2 billion.

Polymarket whale raises Trump odds, sparking manipulation concerns

[Oct 18, 2024 11:26 AM] Assessing potential manipulation in prediction markets is becoming increasingly important, with less than three weeks until the US presidential election.

U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says

[Oct 17, 2024 6:45 PM] A federal judge "erred" in letting prediction market purveyor Kalshi list and trade election contracts, attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission argued in a brief to an appellate court Wednesday, reiterating many of the arguments…

Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections

[Oct 17, 2024 8:13 AM] A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.

Kalshi election betting contracts multiply after court win

[Oct 16, 2024 7:30 PM] The prediction marketplace has certified more than a dozen political event contracts since prevailing in a court battle in September.

Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided

[Oct 14, 2024 3:45 PM] Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.

Bitcoin Betting Is Launching an Unstoppable DeFi App for Sports Betting and Prediction Markets With No KYC

[Oct 8, 2024 8:00 AM] Bitcoin Betting is launching its cutting-edge DeFi app, designed for sports betting and prediction markets. The app targets semi-professional sports bettors who value privacy, high limits, great odds and peace of mind, knowing that their funds are…

Trump Leads Harris on Polymarket After Musk Endorsement, but Trails in This Key State

[Oct 7, 2024 8:30 AM] Elon Musk says that prediction markets are more accurate than polls.

U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's

[Oct 4, 2024 7:08 PM] With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.

U.S. Election Betting: Court Clears Kalshi Congressional Contracts

[Oct 2, 2024 2:52 PM] The CFTC "has failed to demonstrate that it or the public will suffer irreparable injury absent a stay pending appeal," an appeals court said, clearing the prediction market to resume listing the contracts.

Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion

[Sep 30, 2024 2:43 PM] Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point, but is set to carry most of the swing states.

CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting

[Sep 28, 2024 2:45 PM] In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures…

Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge

[Sep 23, 2024 11:15 PM] Investors in the proposed round would get warrants to buy tokens in the event the prediction market decides to issue one, The Information reported.

Caroline Ellison Most Likely Won't Serve Time, Polymarket Traders Bet

[Sep 23, 2024 2:05 PM] The market is skeptical about Qualcomm's Intel deal; prediction markets were the talk of the town at Token2049 in Singapore.

Betting Markets and Polls Show Harris Ahead of Trump as Election Nears

[Sep 22, 2024 3:30 PM] With only 44 days remaining until the U.S. election, the blockchain-powered predictions market Polymarket shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead in a wager against former President Donald Trump. As of Sunday, Sept. 22, Harris holds 52%…

Prediction Markets Go to Washington('s Appeals Court)

[Sep 20, 2024 4:00 PM] The CFTC is working to ban political prediction markets. Its current goal: Get a federal appeals court to keep one from launching while it argues a judge was mistaken in overturning its rejection of Kalshi.

U.S. Election Betting: CFTC, Kalshi Both Grilled by Judges in Appeals Court

[Sep 19, 2024 10:06 PM] A panel of judges grilled attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and prediction-betting platform Kalshi over the company's efforts to launch political prediction markets in the U.S., without indicating whether they'd allow…

U.S. CFTC Chair Behnam Says Regulator Will Keep Pursuing Kalshi Case

[Sep 17, 2024 3:39 PM] After the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission's court defeat last week in the agency's pursuit of Kalshi's election contracts, the regulator's chairman, Rostin Behnam, said it will still keep pursuing the case against what it continues to…

A New Prediction Market Raises $3M in Pre-Seed Round Led by 1confirmation

[Sep 17, 2024 1:00 PM] Unlike industry leader Polymarket, Limitless Network isn't focusing on the election. It's carving out a niche with contracts that expire quickly and user-created markets.

Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds

[Sep 16, 2024 3:30 PM] Nearly $1 billion has been bet on the crypto-based prediction market. Plus: are you ready for 20x leveraged election betting?

'An Explosion of Election Gambling' Is Nigh, CFTC Warns Appeals Court

[Sep 15, 2024 2:10 AM] The regulator pleaded with the court to halt Kalshi's political prediction markets for the duration of the CFTC's appeal.

Even Temporarily Blocking Election Contracts Risks 'Irreparable' Harm, Kalshi Argues

[Sep 13, 2024 11:10 PM] Prediction market company Kalshi pushed back against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's move to block its new election contracts, saying they would harm the company.

U.S. Political Prediction Markets: Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters

[Sep 13, 2024 1:59 PM] If it turns out that the judge's ruling preempts the CFTC’s proposed rulemaking, election event contracts may now be completely legal.

Kalshi's New Political Prediction Markets Halted as CFTC Appeals Loss

[Sep 13, 2024 4:14 AM] The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission appealed its loss against prediction markets platform Kalshi to the D.C. Appeals Court late Thursday.

Kalshi Lists Long-Sought Election Contracts After Beating CFTC in Court

[Sep 12, 2024 4:12 PM] The agency plans to appeal the case brought by the trading platform, and could still ask the higher court to stop the firm from listing the contracts.

U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown

[Sep 12, 2024 12:00 PM] Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters.

Prediction markets are the killer blockchain app we've been waiting for

[Sep 10, 2024 10:59 PM] As markets continue to evolve and integrate with Web3 — from DeFi to gaming — we're likely to see an explosion of creativity.

Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention

[Sep 10, 2024 4:07 PM]

Kalshi's U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest

[Sep 9, 2024 6:14 PM] The judge in the prediction market's court case against the CFTC has called a hearing Thursday over the regulator's motion for a two-week delay.

Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting

[Sep 9, 2024 2:19 PM] Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts.