[Jan 12 8:30 PM] On Jan. 12, 2025, bitcoin’s price has been drifting within the $95,000 range, while market participants on prediction platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are placing their bets on its future trajectory. Currently, a Polymarket wager…
[Nov 18, 2024 6:33 PM] The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) may not like election betting, but only Congress — not the regulator — has the authority to ban it, embattled prediction market purveyor Kalshi argued in a Friday court filing.
[Nov 7, 2024 4:03 PM] The scrutiny comes after a French national profited handsomely on the platform by placing large bets on Trump winning the U.S. election
[Nov 6, 2024 7:10 PM] If the prediction market's traders are right – and lately, they've been right – the election results are even more bullish for crypto than they appear.
[Nov 5, 2024 2:30 PM] Recent numbers from prediction markets suggest that former President Donald Trump is holding a substantial edge over Vice President Kamala Harris. Battle for the White House Bettors have shown a consistent shift in support for Donald Trump in the…
[Nov 4, 2024 8:00 PM] The manipulation narrative is an attempt by mainstream media to discredit Polymarket’s election odds and control the narrative, one expert said.
[Oct 30, 2024 5:08 PM] As much as a third of the prediction market's volume is inflated by traders buying and selling the same shares repeatedly, Fortune reported, citing blockchain researchers. They could be doing it to farm a future airdropped token.
[Oct 28, 2024 11:32 AM] Polymarket whales are betting tens of millions of dollars on a Trump victory on Nov. 5, which could be more accurate than traditional polls, according to Elon Musk.
[Oct 25, 2024 7:11 PM] One of the major breakout successes this year for the team behind layer-2 blockchain Polygon is Polymarket. But according to data, Polymarket has only brought in about $27,000 of transaction fees for Polygon PoS in 2024.
[Oct 23, 2024 3:04 PM] The US's first election betting market has added contracts for trading on national elections from Australia to Ecuador, public filings show.
[Oct 21, 2024 5:01 PM] In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails Polymarket's $2 billion.
[Oct 18, 2024 11:26 AM] Assessing potential manipulation in prediction markets is becoming increasingly important, with less than three weeks until the US presidential election.
[Oct 17, 2024 6:45 PM] A federal judge "erred" in letting prediction market purveyor Kalshi list and trade election contracts, attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission argued in a brief to an appellate court Wednesday, reiterating many of the arguments…
[Oct 17, 2024 8:13 AM] A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.
[Oct 16, 2024 7:30 PM] The prediction marketplace has certified more than a dozen political event contracts since prevailing in a court battle in September.
[Oct 8, 2024 8:00 AM] Bitcoin Betting is launching its cutting-edge DeFi app, designed for sports betting and prediction markets. The app targets semi-professional sports bettors who value privacy, high limits, great odds and peace of mind, knowing that their funds are…
[Oct 4, 2024 7:08 PM] With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.
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