3 / 28 Relevant items tagged with #analysis

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Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets

[Jun 3 5:29 PM] Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts.

Trump Widens Lead Over With Biden (on Polymarket and PredictIt) After Courting Crypto Vote

[May 27 4:04 PM] Plus, how much longshot money was made betting on the SEC approving an Ethereum ETF?

SEC's Gensler Going Rogue in Solo Quest to Stop U.S. Crypto Legislation?

[May 22 1:15 PM] The White House is "eager" to work on a crypto bill. That was the sentiment of its latest statement on Wednesday, putting the administration on-the-record again about wanting new digital assets policies to protect investors. But U.S. Securities and…

Will RFK Jr. Debate Trump or Biden? Probably Not, Prediction Market Says

[May 20 7:31 AM] Plus: Which cat-themed meme coin will hit $1 billion first?

5 of 7 on-chain indicators suggest the bull run is just beginning

[May 19 10:44 PM] On-chain indicators such as the Bitcoin MVRV Z score, Puell Multiple and HODL Waves paint a bullish picture for Bitcoin investors.

Tether mints another $1B mint — Last time it helped Bitcoin climb to $73K

[May 17 11:21 AM] Bitcoin flipped its old resistance into support as Tether’s market cap continues to grow rapidly in 2024.

Crypto Community Voices Outrage at Tornado Cash Developer Verdict

[May 16 9:26 AM] Alexey Pertsev, a developer of Tornado Cash, was sentenced to 64 months in prison for money laundering.

As a Pension Embraces Bitcoin, Hope Grows for Cryptocurrency's Long-Term Prospects Even Among Conservative Pros

[May 16 8:20 AM] Spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds debuted with a giant splash in January, quickly attracting billions of dollars of investment. But who was buying them and why have inflows stalled in recent weeks? Was it a fad that fizzled?

Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls

[May 13 8:10 AM] Other election contracts show a 35% chance of a Republican sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress and a 27% chance Democrats control the Senate after the election.

No, Hong Kong's Crypto ETFs Aren't Available in Mainland China

[May 13 7:51 AM] The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong (HKEX) confirmed they aren't available. Chinese authorities are wary that ETFs offer a way to bypass strict international capital controls.

Elon Musk Will Likely Remain Tesla CEO, and Tweet Non-Stop: Prediction Markets

[May 6 6:34 AM] Also: Trump faces likely conviction, per Polymarket punters; CFTC hearing to discuss political betting ban.

Report Reveals Hundreds of US Banks at Risk of Failure Amid High Interest Rate Environment

[May 3 12:34 PM] Following the dramatic bank failures last year and the recent collapse of Philadelphia’s Republic First Bank last week, an analysis by Klaros Group indicates that hundreds of U.S. banks are at risk of failure. The study reveals that smaller and…

Chainalysis will help Tether monitor secondary market for illicit activity

[May 2 2:48 PM] The blockchain analytics firm will provide tools to spot sanctioned and illicit activity and provide market information.

How Changpeng Zhao's 'Good Guy' Reputation Secured a 4-Month Prison Sentence

[Apr 30 4:25 PM] Judge Richard Jones said he spent the weekend pouring over the voluminous letters of support for the ex-CEO of Binance until the book they were contained in literally fell apart.

Binance's CZ Will Spend Less Than a Year in Prison, Polymarket Traders Bet

[Apr 29 8:15 AM] Also, the CFTC wants to bar Americans from betting on elections – even though it's already illegal in most U.S. states.

Consensys, a Target for the SEC’s Assault on ETH, Is Fighting Back

[Apr 26 5:00 AM]

Visa provides stablecoin analytics dashboard with ‘noise’ filtered out

[Apr 25 11:35 AM] The financial services giant wants to make data about stablecoin usage clear and accessible, which requires some processing.

Here’s the 6 biggest crypto VC deals in Q1 2024 and late 2023

[Apr 25 8:00 AM] The volume of crypto VC funding in Q1 2024 surged for the first time since the start of the crypto winter in 2022.

Will Bitcoin’s New BIP Editors Streamline Development?

[Apr 23 11:34 AM] Five new editors were added to help speed up the process of approving and merging Bitcoin Improvement Proposals.

Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job

[Apr 22 8:23 AM] Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction market signals. Plus: Kalshi bettors don't think Taylor Swift will break…

Is the Bitcoin Rally Over? Reasons to Stay Bullish on BTC Despite Correction

[Apr 16 11:49 AM] Bitcoin has pulled back more than 15% since hitting an all-time high one month ago, with some major altcoins nosediving 40%-50%, but "few understand how normal corrections like these are in bull markets," one observer noted.

'DePIN' Is Venture Capitalists' Latest Crypto Obsession. Can It Match the Hype?

[Apr 16 10:20 AM] Already a multi-billion-dollar sector of the crypto industry, the DePIN narrative is a promising one, according to experts.

Free Money? Polymarket Bet Pays 8.7% if China Doesn't Invade Taiwan

[Apr 15 7:44 AM] Betting against that outcome could yield almost 8x as much as Taiwan government bonds. Plus: Mideast turmoil barely changes presidential odds.

Which Crypto Projects Will Airdrop Next? Prediction Markets Are Placing Bets

[Apr 8 7:32 AM] Eigenlayer has a 75% chance of sending users free tokens by June 30, the odds on Polymarket signal. Plus: Kalshi lands a big Wall Street account.

Did Strong Bitcoin ETF Demand Kill Halving's Potential Bullish Rally?

[Apr 5 12:39 PM] The much stronger-than-expected inflows into the spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have already caused concerns about a supply shock in the bitcoin market, potentially taking away some of the impacts of the halving.

Crypto Has 'Too Many Tokens' and Mergers Are Coming

[Apr 4 2:30 PM] TK

Crypto AI Projects Would Need to Buy Chips Worth Their Entire Market Cap to Meet Ambitions

[Apr 3 3:35 AM] Supporting the creator economy with AI-generated video will take more GPUs than all major tech companies operate.

Telegram's Pivot to TON Payments for Ads Boosts Toncoin

[Apr 2 8:21 AM] The messaging app's switch to TON creates a circular economy for the closely-linked crypto.

Who Will Trump Pick for Veep? Polymarket Gives Tim Scott Best Odds: Prediction Markets

[Apr 1 7:16 AM] Plus: Free money? "Democrat wins New York" contract trades at 90 cents on the dollar.

Nearly $100M Wagered on U.S. Presidential Election on Polymarket

[Mar 18 7:49 AM] Blockchain bettors see a clear path to victory for Trump, and are bullish on ether hitting an all-time high in 2024 – but SOL might get there first, thanks to "memecoin March."