Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds
[Sep 16 3:30 PM] Nearly $1 billion has been bet on the crypto-based prediction market. Plus: are you ready for 20x leveraged election betting?
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Ether-Bitcoin Ratio Drops to Lowest Since April 2021. Here’s Why It Matters
[Sep 16 12:26 PM] Analysts suggest the ETH/BTC ratio might drop further, potentially to the 0.02-0.03 range, unless there's a significant change in investor sentiment or regulatory clarity that might favor riskier assets.
U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown
[Sep 12 12:00 PM] Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters.
Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting
[Sep 9 2:19 PM] Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts.
A Crypto Project's Weird Marketing 'Hack' Riffed on Infamous 1987 Chicago TV Hijacking
[Sep 5 7:39 PM]
Wall Street Agrees Crypto Is 'Clearly' A Huge Election Issue, But Still Divided on Who Is Best for Industry
[Aug 15 12:45 PM] The digital assets industry is now a full-blown political issue, and Wall Street firms with crypto exposure are staying cautious ahead of November's U.S. election. Whether the next election will result in Donald Trump or Kamala Harris occupying the…
Democrats Make Pitch For Crypto Voters. Will Crypto Listen?
[Aug 14 6:49 PM] A Crypto4Harris town hall tonight aims to show the strength of Democrat commitment on digital assets.
Crypto Insiders Courting Vice President Harris Chase Whispers of Her Openness
[Aug 13 12:00 PM] While U.S. crypto insiders continue to pound away at a noncommittal Biden administration, a more urgent mission is developing to find out the digital assets views of Vice President Kamala Harris, though her dual life as vice president and…
Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket
[Aug 12 1:32 PM]
Semler Scientific Studied MicroStrategy’s Success Before Adopting Bitcoin Strategy
[Aug 6 7:48 PM] It was more than two years before Bitcoin's birth when Dr. Herbert Semler, who served as a flight surgeon in the Korean War before leading cardiology at a Portland hospital, co-founded Semler Scientific in 2007.Seventeen years later, the medical…
Harris Likely to Pick Pennsylvania Gov. Shapiro for Veep, Prediction Markets Say
[Aug 5 2:01 PM] Also: the Democrat gains on Trump but hasn't closed the gap, unlike in polls; Polymarket punters trade on Olympic women's boxing controversy; Fed will cut rates fast and hard in September, say bettors.
Coinbase Earnings Hurt by Low Volume But Trump Could be Wild Card, Analysts Say
[Jul 30 6:57 PM]
Trump's Talk of Bitcoin Reserve for the U.S. Leaves Industry Waiting for More Details
[Jul 29 8:17 PM] Former President Donald Trump, a sitting U.S. senator and some of the biggest names in bitcoin {{BTC}} investing all seem to agree that the U.S. should begin building a reserve of the most prominent crypto token. But concrete details are few, and…
Staking in Ethereum ETFs Might Be a Question of When, Not If
[Jul 25 11:53 AM] The eight spot ether exchange-traded funds had a successful launch on Tuesday, despite the missing staking feature that many investors had hoped to profit from.
Germany Dumping $2.8B Bitcoin Is 'Market Intervention,' Despite Murky Legal Justifications
[Jul 18 8:22 AM] One expert told CoinDesk the law does not provide for an obligation, but merely an opportunity to sell, while another alleged that “How they handled this sell-off moved the market and is intervention in public markets.”
U.S. Secret Service Chief Probably Won't Be Fired, Polymarket Bets Signal
[Jul 15 7:25 AM] Plus: Another all-time high for Trump's odds of victory; bettors think bitcoin will continue its green streak until the end of week.
It's Not Germany Selling Bitcoin. It's One of Its States and It Has No Choice.
[Jul 9 12:58 PM] Since confiscating nearly 50,000 bitcoin in January, Germany’s state of Saxony has sold over half of its initial holdings, causing distress in the crypto market.
Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong
[Jul 8 8:03 AM] Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
Biden's Blunder Ignites Trading Frenzy on Polymarket
[Jul 1 8:11 AM] Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market.
Solana ETF Applications Look Like Bets on Trump Retaking White House, Making U.S. Friendlier to Crypto
[Jun 28 10:45 AM] VanEck and 21Shares' applications seem doomed under the Biden administration. But they include a deadline that lapses when Trump would be in office, if he wins the presidency in November.
Elections Across Europe Won't Hinder Bloc's Crypto Ambitions
[Jun 28 9:24 AM] France, Austria, Germany and other countries are expected to have elections soon, following this month's European Parliament contest.
Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Not Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
[Jun 24 10:22 AM] Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement.
Cathie Wood's Ether ETF Pullback Is Likely Due to Fee War
[Jun 6 9:35 AM] Cathie Wood's Ark Invest was the first company to seek permission to create a spot ether ETF in September, a pioneer who blazed the trail before a wave of other high-profile applicants. It has since dropped out of the race, likely because of the…
SEC's Gensler Shrugs About New Crypto ETFs Strolling Through His Agency's Gates
[Jun 5 11:01 AM] The approval of new exchange traded funds (ETFs) for Ethereum's ether {{ETH}} is a logical next step to the regulator previously approving spot bitcoin ETFs, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler seemed to suggest twice…
Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
[Jun 3 5:29 PM] Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts.
Trump Widens Lead Over With Biden (on Polymarket and PredictIt) After Courting Crypto Vote
[May 27 4:04 PM] Plus, how much longshot money was made betting on the SEC approving an Ethereum ETF?
Will RFK Jr. Debate Trump or Biden? Probably Not, Prediction Market Says
[May 20 7:31 AM] Plus: Which cat-themed meme coin will hit $1 billion first?
As a Pension Embraces Bitcoin, Hope Grows for Cryptocurrency's Long-Term Prospects Even Among Conservative Pros
[May 16 8:20 AM] Spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds debuted with a giant splash in January, quickly attracting billions of dollars of investment. But who was buying them and why have inflows stalled in recent weeks? Was it a fad that fizzled?
Bitcoin Runes Protocol Sees Traction Waning After Much-Hyped Introduction
[May 14 3:20 AM] User activity has plunged after a hyped run-up to the start of the Runes protocol , which was expected by some to mirror Solana’s meme coin ecosystem.
Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls
[May 13 8:10 AM] Other election contracts show a 35% chance of a Republican sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress and a 27% chance Democrats control the Senate after the election.