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Polymarket Trader Loses Millions on Tyson After Making Bank on Trump

[Nov 18 4:22 PM] Plus: the market is not confident if Matt Gaetz will be confirmed as Trump's attorney general.

What Does Trump's Win Mean for Crypto?

[Nov 15 10:30 PM] Donald Trump and the Republican Party at large had a strong 2024 election, winning the presidency, Senate and House. This almost certainly guarantees crypto legislation will advance and become law sometime in the next two years. It also heralds a…

Ex-SEC Lawyers Agree: Crypto Enforcement Shackles May Take Time to Resolve

[Nov 14 10:08 PM] After years of legal wrangling with the U.S. securities regulator, President-elect Donald Trump's win was taken by the crypto industry as a definitive sign that their courtroom shackles and enforcement actions would be thrown off when he takes the…

Here's Why Today's U.S. Election Matters for Crypto

[Nov 5 4:15 PM] It is Election Day in the U.S. At some point in the coming hours, days and weeks, we'll know which major party wins control of the House of Representatives, the Senate and the White House. Presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump…

Industry-Funded Polls Back Crypto Message: They Have Enough Voters to Make a Splash

[Oct 31 4:57 PM] The latest crypto election poll illustrates — according to its industry sponsor — that single-issue crypto voters exist. That's a point the industry has been seeking to score for months, and its potential ramifications in future Washington policy…

Gary Gensler's Contentious Reign Over Crypto Approaches Its Twilight

[Oct 22 12:00 PM] Someday soon, somebody besides Gary Gensler will be calling the shots at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and most of the crypto industry will rejoice.More than any other figure in the U.S. government, this SEC chair played an…

History Suggests Crypto’s Bullish Momentum Should Continue Into the U.S. Election and Afterwards

[Oct 16 4:39 PM] With less than three weeks until the U.S. presidential election, traders are positioning themselves for what’s to come after Nov. 5 and how a new administration will respond to factors affecting financial markets, including crypto.

Crypto Degens Baited an Experimental AI Bot Into Promoting a Memecoin. It's Now Up 16,000%.

[Oct 16 3:17 PM] Conceived as a live experiment in human interactions with AI models, the viral bot ended up shilling a meme coin.

Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds

[Sep 16 3:30 PM] Nearly $1 billion has been bet on the crypto-based prediction market. Plus: are you ready for 20x leveraged election betting?

Ether-Bitcoin Ratio Drops to Lowest Since April 2021. Here’s Why It Matters

[Sep 16 12:26 PM] Analysts suggest the ETH/BTC ratio might drop further, potentially to the 0.02-0.03 range, unless there's a significant change in investor sentiment or regulatory clarity that might favor riskier assets.

U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown

[Sep 12 12:00 PM] Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters.

Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting

[Sep 9 2:19 PM] Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts.

A Crypto Project's Weird Marketing 'Hack' Riffed on Infamous 1987 Chicago TV Hijacking

[Sep 5 7:39 PM]

Wall Street Agrees Crypto Is 'Clearly' A Huge Election Issue, But Still Divided on Who Is Best for Industry

[Aug 15 12:45 PM] The digital assets industry is now a full-blown political issue, and Wall Street firms with crypto exposure are staying cautious ahead of November's U.S. election. Whether the next election will result in Donald Trump or Kamala Harris occupying the…

Democrats Make Pitch For Crypto Voters. Will Crypto Listen?

[Aug 14 6:49 PM] A Crypto4Harris town hall tonight aims to show the strength of Democrat commitment on digital assets.

Crypto Insiders Courting Vice President Harris Chase Whispers of Her Openness

[Aug 13 12:00 PM] While U.S. crypto insiders continue to pound away at a noncommittal Biden administration, a more urgent mission is developing to find out the digital assets views of Vice President Kamala Harris, though her dual life as vice president and…

Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket

[Aug 12 1:32 PM]

Semler Scientific Studied MicroStrategy’s Success Before Adopting Bitcoin Strategy

[Aug 6 7:48 PM] It was more than two years before Bitcoin's birth when Dr. Herbert Semler, who served as a flight surgeon in the Korean War before leading cardiology at a Portland hospital, co-founded Semler Scientific in 2007.Seventeen years later, the medical…

Harris Likely to Pick Pennsylvania Gov. Shapiro for Veep, Prediction Markets Say

[Aug 5 2:01 PM] Also: the Democrat gains on Trump but hasn't closed the gap, unlike in polls; Polymarket punters trade on Olympic women's boxing controversy; Fed will cut rates fast and hard in September, say bettors.

Coinbase Earnings Hurt by Low Volume But Trump Could be Wild Card, Analysts Say

[Jul 30 6:57 PM]

Trump's Talk of Bitcoin Reserve for the U.S. Leaves Industry Waiting for More Details

[Jul 29 8:17 PM] Former President Donald Trump, a sitting U.S. senator and some of the biggest names in bitcoin {{BTC}} investing all seem to agree that the U.S. should begin building a reserve of the most prominent crypto token. But concrete details are few, and…

Staking in Ethereum ETFs Might Be a Question of When, Not If

[Jul 25 11:53 AM] The eight spot ether exchange-traded funds had a successful launch on Tuesday, despite the missing staking feature that many investors had hoped to profit from.

Germany Dumping $2.8B Bitcoin Is 'Market Intervention,' Despite Murky Legal Justifications

[Jul 18 8:22 AM] One expert told CoinDesk the law does not provide for an obligation, but merely an opportunity to sell, while another alleged that “How they handled this sell-off moved the market and is intervention in public markets.”

U.S. Secret Service Chief Probably Won't Be Fired, Polymarket Bets Signal

[Jul 15 7:25 AM] Plus: Another all-time high for Trump's odds of victory; bettors think bitcoin will continue its green streak until the end of week.

It's Not Germany Selling Bitcoin. It's One of Its States and It Has No Choice.

[Jul 9 12:58 PM] Since confiscating nearly 50,000 bitcoin in January, Germany’s state of Saxony has sold over half of its initial holdings, causing distress in the crypto market.

Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong

[Jul 8 8:03 AM] Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?

Biden's Blunder Ignites Trading Frenzy on Polymarket

[Jul 1 8:11 AM] Odds that the president will drop out of the race surged as high as 50% after the debate before leveling off at 40% on the crypto-based prediction market.

Solana ETF Applications Look Like Bets on Trump Retaking White House, Making U.S. Friendlier to Crypto

[Jun 28 10:45 AM] VanEck and 21Shares' applications seem doomed under the Biden administration. But they include a deadline that lapses when Trump would be in office, if he wins the presidency in November.

Elections Across Europe Won't Hinder Bloc's Crypto Ambitions

[Jun 28 9:24 AM] France, Austria, Germany and other countries are expected to have elections soon, following this month's European Parliament contest.

Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Not Presidency, Prediction Market Signals

[Jun 24 10:22 AM] Plus: $DJT believers dispute the resolution of a Polymarket bet, insisting the "preponderance of evidence" shows Barron Trump's involvement.