[Aug 11 2:30 PM] Polymarket and Kalshi, two prominent prediction markets, have continued to record substantial trading activity into 2025, with volumes, active accounts, and market offerings reflecting ongoing participation beyond the 2024 U.S. Election. Data Shows…
[Jun 22 2:05 PM] After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders…
[Jun 8 9:40 PM] Ever since tensions flared between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, markets have seesawed and social media has lit up with fiery takes on the so-called “Big Beautiful Bill.” The clash between the sitting U.S. president and the world’s wealthiest…
[Nov 18, 2024 6:33 PM] The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) may not like election betting, but only Congress — not the regulator — has the authority to ban it, embattled prediction market purveyor Kalshi argued in a Friday court filing.
[Oct 29, 2024 7:49 PM] Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market, has partnered with crypto platform Zero Hash to streamline account funding using USDC. Zero Hash and Kalshi Collaborate on New Account Funding Solution Kalshi, a prediction market regulated by the…
[Oct 23, 2024 3:04 PM] The US's first election betting market has added contracts for trading on national elections from Australia to Ecuador, public filings show.
[Oct 22, 2024 6:30 PM] Bitcoin’s brief rally to $69,000 maybe have been “driven by speculation” for a Trump victory. Meanwhile, BTC options traders say $80,000 is programmed.
[Oct 21, 2024 5:01 PM] In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails Polymarket's $2 billion.
[Oct 20, 2024 10:01 PM] The most recent Polymarket odds put Trump's chances of winning the 2024 Presidential election at 60.3% and winning all six swing states.
[Oct 17, 2024 6:45 PM] A federal judge "erred" in letting prediction market purveyor Kalshi list and trade election contracts, attorneys for the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission argued in a brief to an appellate court Wednesday, reiterating many of the arguments…
[Oct 17, 2024 8:13 AM] A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.
[Oct 16, 2024 7:30 PM] The prediction marketplace has certified more than a dozen political event contracts since prevailing in a court battle in September.
[Oct 5, 2024 8:46 PM] This week, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit has ruled in favor of the predictions market Kalshi, allowing the commodities exchange to offer event contracts based on the outcome of U.S. congressional elections. Circuit…
[Oct 4, 2024 7:08 PM] With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.
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