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US interest rate cut in December rises to 74.5% probability: Fedwatch

[Dec 3 2:51 AM] CME FedWatch shows the market is expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points this month, which would be the third cut this year.

CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting

[Sep 28 2:45 PM] In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures…

Markets Await Fed Decision: Bitcoin Spikes, Gold Drops, Stocks Wobble

[Sep 17 8:15 PM] Bitcoin saw its value leap to $61,331 on Tuesday, just a day before members of the U.S. Federal Reserve convene to discuss a potential rate cut for federal funds. While BTC posted a 5% gain, stock markets exhibited mixed signals, hovering near…

Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction

[Sep 2 4:40 PM] On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on…

Polymarket Bets 10% on 2024 US Recession, Analyst Skeptical of Rate Cut’s Impact

[Aug 25 5:30 PM] The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues…

Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Indicate Strong Odds for September Rate Cut

[Aug 18 5:30 PM] Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a…

US Inflation Cools to 4% Annual Rate, Setting Stage for Fed’s Decision on Interest Rates

[Jun 13, 2023 10:30 AM] The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price index (CPI) report, released on Tuesday, reveals that inflation in the United States has eased to a yearly rate of 4%. The latest development arrives just ahead of the upcoming Federal Open…

US Consumer Price Index Rises 0.1% in March, Annual Inflation up 5% From Last Year

[Apr 12, 2023 8:31 AM] On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics published the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which noted that inflation rose 0.1% last month in March and 5% from a year ago. Annual inflation has dropped for nine consecutive months following…