As the crypto market gears up for one of its major network events, the Litecoin (LTC) halving, investors and analysts are peering into the crystal ball of market trends to try to predict the outcome. Slated for early August, the halving has attracted considerable attention from the cryptocurrency community.
However, predictions surrounding the event are veering off the usual path of price appreciation to include a potential coordinated sell-off. Particularly, Renowned on-chain analyst, Ali Charts, has introduced a novel perspective to the halving discourse, with his theory that the much-anticipated event could turn out to be a “Sell the News” event.
#Litecoin | Each time the number of new $LTC addresses surpassed 350,000 in the last five years, a significant price correction followed.
More than 690,000 #LTC addresses were recently created, suggesting the upcoming #halving could be a “sell the news” event. pic.twitter.com/FBsokPgaYA
— Ali (@ali_charts) July 23, 2023
Unusual Network Activity Sparks Sell-Off Theories
According to Ali, the idea of a “Sell the News” event stems from an observed increase in new Litecoin addresses created on the network. In recent times, over 690,000 new LTC addresses have emerged. This surge is significant because historically, a price correction tends to occur whenever the count of new Litecoin addresses crosses the 350,000 mark, as noted by Ali Charts.
This pattern suggests that the current build-up of addresses may precipitate a price drop following the halving, possibly due to a coordinated sell-off.
However, it’s essential to note that the crypto market, much like any other financial market, is driven by a variety of factors, making it nearly impossible to predict events with absolute certainty. A number of other potential outcomes, spurred by different market dynamics, could equally play out.
Potential For Litecoin Price Growth Amid Deflation
On the flip side, Litecoin’s forthcoming halving also presents the possibility of substantial price growth. This belief stems from the deflationary effect that halving will bring about, reducing the rate at which new Litecoins are created. Coupled with increasing demand for the coin, this could create an ideal scenario for price growth in the mid to long term.
The nature of the halving’s potential impact has set the stage for an interesting dichotomy: a probable sell-off or massive accumulation. As users and investors gauge the possible impacts of the halving, it’s likely they will adjust their strategies accordingly, which could sway the outcome in either direction.
Furthermore, the aftermath of the Litecoin halving event should provide valuable insights for the cryptocurrency community, particularly as investors prepare for the subsequent Bitcoin halving, slated for April next year.
Meanwhile, Litecoin has mirrored the price action of the rest of the crypto market over the past week. Notably, the altcoin currently swims in red, down by 1.3% in the past week and nearly 4% over the past 24 hours. Litecoin currently trades at a price of $89.5, at the time of writing.
Featured image from iStock, Chart from TradingView