Ethereum enthusiasts were cruising down the information superhighway towards a July 4th fireworks celebration of a different kind: the launch of the first spot Ethereum ETF.
But in a move that worried investors, the US Securities and Exchange Commission threw a big wrench into the works, unexpectedly returning applicants’ proposals and delaying the much-anticipated debut.
Missed Exit: Ethereum ETF July Launch Goes Up In Smoke
The news came as a shock to many, as market watchers and analysts alike had confidently predicted a July launch, with some even suggesting a celebratory trade on Independence Day.
Bloomberg ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart were among those waving the checkered flag a little too early. Their prediction of a July 2nd debut went up in smoke faster than a Roman candle after the SEC decided to put the brakes on the process.
Unfort think we gonna have to push back our over/under till after holiday. Sounds like SEC took extra time to get back to ppl this wk (altho again very light tweaks) and from what I hear next wk is dead bc holiday = July 8th the process resumes and soon after that they’ll launch… https://t.co/0ZQR7yiBLt
— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) June 28, 2024
Insiders claim that the SEC has delayed the anticipated debut date by requesting changes to the S-1 paperwork that issuers have submitted. This unexpected diversion raises serious concerns about the schedule as a whole. Although there are others who anticipate clearance by July 8th, the impending US holiday probably adds another level of difficulty.
Uncharted Territory: The SEC Takes The Wheel
The lack of a definitive timeline is a major source of frustration for investors and issuers alike. Unlike the previous 19b-4 forms, which mandated a specific SEC decision timeframe, the S-1 filing process gives the regulatory body the freedom to take its sweet time. This essentially hands the steering wheel over to the SEC, allowing them to request revisions and conduct a thorough review without the pressure of a ticking clock.
While SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously hinted at approvals “sometime this summer,” his comments haven’t offered much solace to the jittery market. The recent snafu with the S-1 forms indicates that even a summer launch might be overly optimistic. This lack of clarity is a major hurdle for issuers and creates uncertainty for investors who are eager to jump on board the Ethereum ETF bandwagon.
The Road AheadEven if Ethereum ETFs do eventually reach the finish line, experts predict they might not attract the same level of investment as their Bitcoin counterparts. The perceived lower volatility of Bitcoin, coupled with the already established Bitcoin ETF landscape, might make them a more attractive option for some investors.
The SEC’s recent actions have thrown the timeline into disarray, leaving investors and issuers in a state of limbo. While approval might still happen “sometime this summer,” the lack of clarity and the potential for lower inflows compared to Bitcoin ETFs paint a picture of a bumpy ride ahead for these highly anticipated investment vehicles.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView
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