The crypto community is currently in a state of constant speculation as renowned analyst Willy Woo sets forth a prediction suggesting Bitcoin could potentially scale up to a price of $310,000 under a specific set of circumstances.
Woo’s hypothesis, which has sparked a flurry of discussions in the crypto community, is hinged on an assumption that notable institutional players might decide to designate a fraction of their assets under management (AUM) to the largest digital currency, Bitcoin.
The Theoretical Path To $310,000 Bitcoin
Woo breaks down his perspective, detailing that a significant augmentation in Bitcoin’s market cap, coupled with a corresponding increase in its realized cap, could set the stage for this quantum leap in price. However, he underscores that the timing of these potential institutional inflows would significantly determine the trajectory of Bitcoin’s price.
Woo noted:
It [BTC potential to $310,000] would really depend on whether they [institutional players] deploy in a bearish or bullish phase of the market but the range would be between $128,000 – $398,000. Right now it’s $310,000.
According to Woo, if such investment decisions take place during a bearish market phase, Bitcoin may dip to around $128,000. On the flip side, a bullish market condition could propel BTC to $400,000.
Woo’s projections, albeit well-reasoned, were met with a fair share of skepticism, particularly concerning the assumption of institutional asset reallocation towards Bitcoin. Reacting to the doubts, Woo emphasized the hypothetical nature of his argument, stressing that the ultimate control of asset allocation rests with the investors and not the institutions.
Investor Decisions VS Wealth Manager Discretion
Splitting wealth management into two distinct categories – investor-driven decisions and wealth manager discretion – Woo explained that any large-scale movement toward Bitcoin would likely necessitate the approval of the individual investors represented by these institutions.
Tweeting about his analysis, Woo stated that If these institutions “allocated 5% of AUM into BTC,” his calculations project above $300,000 per coin and could vary significantly to below it. However, currently, the estimate stands at $310,000, based on a methodology measuring market cap increase versus realized cap increase.
Meanwhile, at the time of writing, Bitcoin currently trades above $30,000 after trading below that price range earlier this month due to its bloodbath from the United States Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit on the two largest crypto exchanges, Binance and Coinbase.
However, following financial giants such as BlackRock expressed acceptance of the crypto market, Bitcoin has seen significant growth up by more than 20% in the past two weeks. Notably, over the past 14 days, more than $100 billion has been added to the crypto market cap.
This surge comes amid BlackRock and other financial giants’ recent filing of a Bitcoin Exchange-traded fund (ETF) and the launch of EDX Markets, a digital-asset exchange supported by esteemed traditional finance giants such as Citadel Securities, Fidelity Digital Assets, and Charles Schwab Corp.
Featured image from iStock, Chart from TradingView